DEC
11
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Residential Property Price Indexes: Eight Capital Cities

Please enable javascript to see the dynamic graph contentSEPTEMBER KEY FIGURES

Jun Qtr 18 to Sep Qtr 18

Sep Qtr 17 to Sep Qtr 18

RESIDENTIAL PROPERTY PRICES

% change

% change

Weighted average of eight capital cities

-1.5%

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DEC
11
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Press Release: Economic Expectations Are Increasing

The ZEW Indicator of Economic Sentiment for Germany recorded an increase of 6.6 points in December 2018 and now stands at minus 17.5 points. Despite this increase, the indicator is still clearly in negative territory and remains well below the long-term average of 22.5 points. The assessment of the current economic situation in Germany once again decreased considerably in December, with the corresponding indicator falling by 12.9 points to a level of 45.3 points.Original link
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DEC
11
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Aktuell: 2019 ZEW Public Finance Conference: The Political Economy of European (Dis)Integration (2–3 May 2019)

The Centre for European Economic Research is pleased to announce that the annual ZEW Public Finance Conference will take place in Mannheim on 2 and 3 May 2019. This year’s focus is on the political economy of European integration. Submissions relating to the focus of this year’s conference are particularly welcome, though we also encourage submissions from all other areas of public economics and political economy. Please submit your paper via the conference management website no later than 15 February 2019. The conference fee will be waived for presenters.Original link
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DEC
10
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UK GDP data add to signs of economy's renewed weakness after strong summer

GDP rises 0.1% in October, three-month growth rate slows to0.4% from 0.6%More timely business surveys hint at stalling economy inNovemberBrexit holds key to business outlook

The underlying pace of economic growth slowed at the start ofthe fourth quarter, according to the latest official data. Thenumbers come on the heels of more up-to-date survey evidence whichsuggests the economy is approaching stall speed and could evencontract as we move into 2019 unless demand revives.

Gross domestic product (GDP) rose 0.1% in October, according tothe Office for National Statistics (ONS), in line withexpectations. While the increase was an improvement on the flatpicture seen in the prior two months, the more importantthree-month growth rate slowed to 0.4%, down from a strong 0.6%expansion seen in the three months to September.

This easing in the underlying pace of growth is in line with theevidence from business surveys such as the IHS Markit/CIPS PMI, thelatest data from which indicated that the economy stalled inNovember. With the survey's forward-looking gauges such as inflowsof new work and business sentiment also deteriorating, modestgrowth of just 0.1% is indicated for the fourth quarter, with anincreased risk of the economy contracting as we head into 2019unless demand perks up in coming months.

Slower growth of spending and investment is no surprise and is arational response to intensifying Brexit uncertainty, which hasbeen exacerbated by a broader global economic slowdown, especiallyin the eurozone.

The outlook for growth therefore very much depends on Brexitdevelopments over the coming days, weeks and months, and thesurrounding uncertainty makes forecasting extremely difficult.However, the widely-expected slowing of the economy in the lead-upto the UK's separation from the EU is now clearly evident, leavingthe big question of whether the economy will bounce back alongsidea smooth Brexit process or slide into decline.

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DEC
10
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Livestock and Meat, Australia

Lamb production down 13.1% since October 2017Original link
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DEC
10
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Linking Death registrations to the 2016 Census

Information paper now availableOriginal link
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© absau

DEC
10
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Housing Finance, Australia

Total dwelling finance increases 2.6%Original link
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© absau

DEC
07
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Week Ahead APAC Economic Preview: Week of 10 December 2018

Release of flash PMI surveys give early clues to full Q4economic performance and price trends of major economiesChina data updatesECB, Philippines and Brazil set monetary policyKey UK Brexit voteSpecial focus on US-China trade war

Release of Flash December PMI surveys in the coming week willoffer early signals into the economic performance at the end of thefourth quarter. China's clutch of data updates will also receivestrong attention, while the Philippines' central bank MonetaryBoard will meet to make their monetary policy decision.

Other data highlights for Asia include updated estimates toJapan's GDP, South Korea's unemployment data as well as industrialproduction figures for Malaysia and India. Elsewhere, Brexitdevelopments in the US and the ECB's policy meeting will beespecially keenly watched.

Our special focus this week looks at recent development in theUS-China trade war.

Download the article for a full diary of key economicreleases.

Contact for further APAC commentary: Rajiv Biswas or BernardAw

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DEC
07
0

PMI suggests Italy to enter technical recession in fourth quarter

Composite Output Index stuck at five-year low in NovemberWeak demand backdrop unsupportive for growthBusinesses concerned by political tensions with the EuropeanCommission

According to the November PMI, Italian private sector outputdeclined at the sharpest pace in five years. Our survey datasuggest the Italian economy will decline once again in the fourthquarter following a 0.1% quarterly contraction in GDP in the thirdquarter, meaning the country will enter a technical recession forthe first time since 2013.

Risks also seem firmly skewed to the downside for Italy: thegrowth trend has weakened across the eurozone, fiscal stimulusplans have come under severe scrutiny in Brussels, instability hasrisen within the financial markets and the domestic economicbackdrop has deteriorated.

Further underperformance in Q4

The IHS Markit Composite Output Index was unchanged fromOctober's five-year low of 49.3 during November. The declinesignalled a contraction in the Italian private sector economyacross both months thus far in the fourth quarter, with the rate ofdecline gaining momentum.

If the Italian economy contracts in the fourth quarter, it willmean that the third largest euro area country will enter atechnical recession (defined as two consecutive quarters of fallingoutput) for the first time since 2013. Indeed, our fourth quarterGDP 'nowcast' is pointing to another 0.1% decline in GDP.

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DEC
07
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GDP and employment both up by 0.2% in the euro area

Seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 0.2% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.3% in the EU28 during the third quarter of 2018, compared with the previous quarter, according to an estimate published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In the second quarter of 2018, GDP had grown by 0.4% in the euro area and by 0.5% in the EU28.Original link
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