MAR
08
0

Schools, Australia

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MAR
08
0

Aktuell: Obryan Poyser Visiting Researcher at ZEW

Obryan Poyser is a visiting researcher in ZEW’s Research Department “Digital Economics” from 1 February to 29 April 2019. He is a predoctoral researcher in the applied economics department at the Autonomous University of Barcelona in Spain. His research focuses on digital economics, Bayesian methods, and machine learning. During his stay at ZEW, he spoke about the parallels between cryptocurrencies and financial markets in the ZEW Research Seminar on Cryptocurrency Markets.Original link

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MAR
07
0

Australia PMI data reinforce central bank's shift to neutral policy stance

CBA Composite Output PMI below 50.0 in February, signallingcontractionSoftening of PMI data support shift to neutral central bankpolicyRegulatory changes pose risk to Australian housing market

Fresh survey data corroborate the changing stance towards a morecautious approach to policy from Australia's central bank, but alsohighlight the recent impact of regulatory change.

In the Reserve Bank of Australia's February meeting, governorPhilip Lowe struck more dovish tone, suggested the likelihood ofthe next policy move being easing or tightening had become "evenlybalanced". The change in policy stance is seen as opening the doorfor a potential rate cut later in the year if the economicsituation deteriorates.

The latest PMI data by IHS Markit and Commonwealth Bank ofAustralia reinforce this dovish shift, hinting at mounting downsiderisks. The CBA Composite PMI Output Index dipped below the crucial50.0 no-change mark in February, signalling the first dip inprivate sector business activity since data collection began nearlythree years ago.

The February PMI surveys for manufacturing and servicesindicated a downturn in Australia's private sector, with the latterobserving an outright decline in output for the first time sincedata collection started in May 2016. Growth was sustained in thegoods-producing economy, but eased for a third successive month tothe weakest since last July. Unless March can present a markedturnaround in momentum in Australia, the first quarter average isset to signal near-stagnation of business activity.

There are some transitory factors at play here, such as drought-and flood-related impacts, but demand pressures have also beenweakening. Australia is no exception to the global manufacturingand trade slowdown which has resonated through the Asia-Pacificregion, causing Australia's export growth to ease. Anecdotalevidence from survey participants also suggests that recentregulatory changes in the financial sector from the Banking RoyalCommission have weighed on demand for services.

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MAR
07
0

Global economy buoyed as service sector gains offset factory slowdown

Global PMI rises but remains among lowest since 2016Manufacturing slowdown gathers pace, but service sector growthrevivesDeveloped world growth led by US as UK, eurozone and Japanrecord only modest gainsEmerging markets subdued by weakness in China

The pace of global economic growth picked up in February from anear two-and-a-half year low seen at the start of the year, butremained among the weakest since 2016 amid a trade-led slowdown andespecially weak growth in Europe and China.

Growth picks up but Q1 still looks weak

Some brighter news was seen in February as the JPMorgan Global PMI, compiled by IHS Markit, rose from a28-month low of 52.1 in January to 52.6. Although signalling thefirst acceleration of growth for three months, the latest readingwas still the second-weakest since September 2016.

The PMI exhibits a strong correlation with global GDP and, atthese levels, historical comparisons suggest the global economycould struggle to expand at a rate in excess of 2.0% in the firstquarter (measured at market prices), down from an estimated 2.3% inthe fourth quarter and a peak of 2.9% at the end of 2017.

Growth of employment and new orders also ticked higher, thoughin all cases remained well below peaks seen last year. Havingstagnated in January, backlogs of work rose in February butremained indicative of capacity constraints having eased in recentmonths.

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MAR
07
0

Only 1 manager out of 3 in the EU is a woman

Nearly 9.4 million persons hold a managerial position in the European Union (EU): 6.0 million men (64% of all managers) and 3.4 million women (36%). In addition, women account for a little over one quarter of board members of publicly listed companies in the EU (27%), and for less than one fifth of senior executives (17%) in 2018. In other words, although representing approximately half of all employed persons in the EU, women continue to be under-represented amongst managers.Original link

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© Eurostat

MAR
07
0

GDP up by 0.2% and employment up by 0.3% in the euro area

Seasonally adjusted GDP rose by 0.2% in the euro area (EA19) and by 0.3% in the EU28 during the fourth quarter of 2018, compared with the previous quarter, according to an estimate published by Eurostat, the statistical office of the European Union. In the third quarter of 2018, GDP had grown by 0.1% in the euro area and by 0.3% in the EU28.Original link

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MAR
07
0

Retail Trade, Australia

Retail turnover rises 0.1 per cent in January (Media Release)Original link

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MAR
07
0

Managed Funds, Australia

Managed funds industry decreases 3.5% in December qtrOriginal link

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MAR
07
0

Assets and Liabilities of Australian Securitisers

SUMMARY COMMENTARY

KEY FIGURES

Securitisers, Australia - Assets and Liabilities(a)

Sep Qtr 2018

Dec Qtr 2018

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MAR
07
0

Retail Trade, Australia

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