MAR
07
0

International Trade in Goods and Services, Australia

Australia records trade surplus of $4,549m in JanuaryOriginal link

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MAR
07
0

Press Release: Interest Policy Reversal Postponed for an Indefinite Period

The Governing Council of the European Central Bank has changed its interest rate outlook and postponed the date for a possible first interest rate hike to early 2020. In addition, the Council decided to launch a new series of targeted longer-term refinancing operations for banks. Professor Friedrich Heinemann, head of the “Corporate Taxation and Public Finance” Research Department at the ZEW – Leibniz Centre for European Economic Research in Mannheim, offers his view on the ECB's decision.Original link

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MAR
07
0

Aktuell: Pessimism Continues to Prevail Among Real Estate Financing

The German Real Estate Finance Index by ZEW and JLL stagnates at a current reading of minus 9.7 in the first quarter of 2019. The index has remained in negative territory for almost two years now. The experts’ persistently pessimistic financing expectations reflect the subdued global economic situation as well as the economic and geopolitical tensions between the major powers. The uncertainties that come with a no-deal Brexit and its possible negative effects on German companies also contribute to this pessimism.Original link

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MAR
06
0

U.S. International Trade in Goods and Services, December 2018

Goods (Census basis)

Data for goods on a Census basis are compiled from the documents collected by U.S. Customs and Border Protection (CBP) and reflect the movement of goods between foreign countries and the 50 states, the District of Columbia, Puerto Rico, the U.S. Virgin Islands, and U.S. Foreign Trade Zones. They include government and non-government shipments of goods and exclude shipments between the United States and its territories and possessions; transactions with U.S. military, diplomatic, and consular installations abroad; U.S. goods returned to the United States by its Armed Forces; personal and household effects of travelers; and in-transit shipments. The General Imports value reflects the total arrival of merchandise from foreign countries that immediately enters consumption channels, warehouses, or Foreign Trade Zones.

For imports, the value reported is the CBP-appraised value of merchandise—generally, the price paid for merchandise for export to the United States. Import duties, freight, insurance, and other charges incurred in bringing merchandise to the United States are excluded. The exception is exhibit 17a, which shows CIF import value. The CIF (cost, insurance, and freight) value represents the landed value of the merchandise at the first port of arrival in the United States. It is computed by adding import charges to the customs value and therefore excludes U.S. import duties.

Exports are valued at the f.a.s. (free alongside ship) value of merchandise at the U.S. port of export, based on the transaction price including inland freight, insurance, and other charges incurred in placing the merchandise alongside the carrier at the U.S. port of exportation.

Revision procedure (Census basis)

Monthly revisions: Monthly data include actual month's transactions as well as a small number of transactions for previous months. Each month, the U.S. Census Bureau revises the aggregate seasonally adjusted (current and real, or chained-dollar) and unadjusted export, import, and trade balance figures, as well as the end-use totals for the prior month. Country detail data and commodity detail data, based on the Standard International Trade Classification (SITC) Revision 4 and the North American Industry Classification System (NAICS), are not revised monthly. The timing adjustment shown in exhibit 14 is the difference between monthly data as originally reported and as recompiled.

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MAR
06
0

EU Member States granted citizenship to over 800 thousand persons in 2017

In 2017, around 825 000 persons acquired citizenship of a Member State of the European Union (EU), down from 995 000 in 2016 and 841 000 in 2015. Of the total number of persons obtaining the citizenship of one of the EU Member States in 2017, 17% were former citizens of another EU Member State, while the majority were non-EU citizens or stateless.Original link

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© Eurostat

MAR
06
0

ADP National Employment Report - February 2018

ADP Research Institute®ADP National Employment ReportADP Regional Employment ReportADP National Franchise ReportADP Small Business Report

183,000

Change in U.S. nonfarm private sector employment

CHANGE BY BUSINESS SIZE

Small

1-49 Employees

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© ADP

MAR
06
0

Australian National Accounts: National Income, Expenditure and Product

Economy grew 0.2 per cent in December quarter (Media Release)Original link

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© absau

MAR
06
0

Australian National Accounts: National Income, Expenditure and Product

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© absau

MAR
06
0

IHS Markit PMI signals improved US GDP growth and faster hiring in February

Final PMI signals faster business activity, new orders andemployment growth in FebruaryGrowth driven by improved service sector expansionPMI indicates Q1 GDP growth of 2.6%. Data correctly signalledslower but still-solid Q4 expansion

The US PMI surveys tell a tale of two economies in February.While manufacturing struggled, with the survey consistent with anear-stalling of factory output and order books, the service sectorremained encouragingly resilient, enjoying its strongest burst ofactivity for eight months.

Service sector gains offset factory woes

An improvement in the service sector activity index to 56.0contrasted with a decline in the manufacturing output index to52.7. With the size of the vast service sector overshadowing the weaker manufacturing sector, the two surveys consequentlysuggest the overall pace of economic growth accelerated inFebruary.

At 55.5, the final composite PMI output index, which covers bothmanufacturing and services, rose from 54.4 in January to reach aseven-month high in February.

Aggregated inflows of new orders likewise picked up, rising atthe fastest rate for four months. However, as with output, thegains were led by the service sector, with factory new ordersgrowth easing closer to stalling territory.

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MAR
05
0

February 2019 Non-Manufacturing ISM Report On Business

NMI® at 59.7%Business Activity Index at 64.7%New Orders Index at 65.2%Employment Index at 55.2%

(Tempe, Arizona) – Economic activity in the non-manufacturing sector grew in February for the 109th consecutive month, say the nation’s purchasing and supply executives in the latest Non-Manufacturing ISM® Report On Business®.

The report was issued today by Anthony Nieves, CPSM, C.P.M., A.P.P., CFPM, Chair of the Institute for Supply Management® (ISM®) Non-Manufacturing Business Survey Committee: “The NMI® registered 59.7 percent, which is 3 percentage points higher than the January reading of 56.7 percent. This represents continued growth in the non-manufacturing sector, at a faster rate. The Non-Manufacturing Business Activity Index increased to 64.7 percent, 5 percentage points higher than the January reading of 59.7 percent, reflecting growth for the 115th consecutive month, at a faster rate in February. The New Orders Index registered 65.2 percent, 7.5 percentage points higher than the reading of 57.7 percent in January. The Employment Index decreased 2.6 percentage points in February to 55.2 percent from the January reading of 57.8 percent. The Prices Index decreased 5 percentage points from the January reading of 59.4 percent to 54.4 percent, indicating that prices increased in February for the 21st consecutive month. According to the NMI®, all 18 non-manufacturing industries reported growth. The non-manufacturing sector’s growth rate rebounded in February after cooling off in January. Respondents are concerned about the uncertainty of tariffs, capacity constraints and employment resources; however, they remain mostly optimistic about overall business conditions and the economy.”

INDUSTRY PERFORMANCE

The 18 non-manufacturing industries reporting growth in February — listed in order — are: Transportation & Warehousing; Management of Companies & Support Services; Wholesale Trade; Mining; Educational Services; Utilities; Other Services; Real Estate, Rental & Leasing; Construction; Health Care & Social Assistance; Professional, Scientific & Technical Services; Public Administration; Agriculture, Forestry, Fishing & Hunting; Finance & Insurance; Information; Accommodation & Food Services; Arts, Entertainment & Recreation; and Retail Trade.

What respondents are saying“We are anxiously awaiting decisions in the next couple of weeks on the fate of the proposed tariffs on China. High Chinese commitments to agriculture output will put cost pressure on food and restaurant margins.” (Accommodation & Food Services)“The beginning of the year is generally our slowest time of year in the health-care industry. [Activity] will gradually pick up until April, then be steady until the fourth quarter, when there will be a large increase.” (Health Care & Social Assistance)“Still strong in all areas, due mostly to commercial construction activity.” (Construction)“The local economy is doing well. Business lending remains competitive. The rise in interest rates have helped boost our net interest margin.” (Finance & Insurance)“Business continues to stay steady, with little drop off. However, we are more concerned about tariffs in the short term, since there seems to be no agreement. However, we do believe it will be a short-lived issue. In the long term, tariffs will force our suppliers to source elsewhere, which will levy more competition from manufacturers in other low- or non-tariffed countries and even in the U.S. Ultimately, the tariffs will force an improvement to the overall supply chain and better mitigate supply risk in our industry.” (Management of Companies & Support Services)“Increased activity level over the end of 2018.” (Mining)“Business continues [to] improve, and we expect it to continue through 2019. Domestic trucking availability is improving.” (Other Services)“Confidence is returning in the marketplace, but tariff surcharges are still in place.” (Retail Trade)“Tariffs continue to have an impact on our business. The contractor labor shortage continues to be the biggest supply challenge for our company and others in our region and industry.” (Utilities)“Seeing increases in business activity. Projecting strong sales for the month, stable prices and generally good fill rates from suppliers. Some spot outages, mostly due to capacity and planning limitations or shortfalls.” (Wholesale Trade)ISM® NON-MANUFACTURING SURVEY RESULTS AT A GLANCE COMPARISON OF ISM® NON-MANUFACTURING AND ISM® MANUFACTURING SURVEYS*FEBRUARY 2019 Non-ManufacturingManufacturingIndexSeries Index FebSeries Index JanPercent Point ChangeDirectionRate of ChangeTrend** (Months)Series Index FebSeries Index JanPercent Point ChangeNMI®/ PMI®59.756.7+3.0GrowingFaster10954.256.6-2.4Business Activity/ Production64.759.7+5.0GrowingFaster11554.860.5-5.7New Orders65.257.7+7.5GrowingFaster11555.558.2-2.7Employment55.257.8-2.6GrowingSlower6052.355.5-3.2Supplier Deliveries53.551.5+2.0SlowingFaster3854.956.2-1.3Inventories51.049.0+2.0GrowingFrom Contracting153.452.8+0.6Prices54.459.4-5.0IncreasingSlower2149.449.6-0.2Backlog of Orders55.552.5+3.0GrowingFaster1452.350.3+2.0New Export Orders55.050.5+4.5GrowingFaster2552.851.8+1.0Imports48.552.0-3.5ContractingFrom Growing155.353.8+1.5Inventory Sentiment59.060.5-1.5Too HighSlower260N/AN/AN/ACustomers' InventoriesN/AN/AN/AN/AN/AN/A39.042.8-3.8Overall EconomyGrowingFaster115Non-Manufacturing SectorGrowingFaster109Non-Manufacturing ISM®Report On Business® data is seasonally adjusted for the Business Activity, New Orders, Prices and Employment Indexes. Manufacturing ISM®Report On Business® data is seasonally adjusted for New Orders, Production, Employment and Supplier Deliveries Indexes.*Number of months moving in current direction.Commodities reported up/down in price and in short supplyCommodities Up in Price

Beef (2); Copper Wire; Labor (5); Paper; Paper Products; and Steel Products (17).

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