1. David Sharma
  2. Commercial Forum
  3. Thursday, 26 July 2018
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GBP/USD disturbed the government’s unpredictable position and on not so good data. What’s next? The next week features few economic signs, leaving more room for Brexit to have its say. Here are the key events and an updated technical analysis for GBP/USD.

UK swelling turned out beneath desires at 2.4%. Retail deals likewise frustrated. However, the precariousness of the British government that barely survived votes in parliament measured more than whatever else. In the US, swelling ascended of course and Fed Chair Powell stayed perky on the economy, boosting the US Dollar. Notwithstanding, late in the week, President Trump astonished by reprimanding the Fed’s climbs and requiring a weaker US Dollar. That switched the greenback’s increases.

GBP/USD Fundamental Updates:
1. Ben Broadbent talks Monday, 17:00. The Deputy Governor of the Bank of England will speak in London and may respond to the latest data. Broadbent is a hawk, so if he veers away from the expectations for a rate hike, the pound could suffer.

2. CBI Industrial Order Expectations: The Confederation of British Industry (CBI) Industrial Trends Orders measures the economic expectations exhibited by executives of manufacturing companies in the U.K. It is a leading indicator of business conditions. The Confederation of British Industry’s gauge surprised with a jump to 13 points last month. This time, a small slide is projected. The industry is only a small part of the British economy.

3. High Street Lending: Wednesday, 8:30. This measure speaks to over 60% of UK contracts and is discharged before the official information. After an expansion to 39.2K a month ago, a little slide to 39K is on the cards.

4. CBI Realized Sales: Wednesday, 10:00. The second figure from the CBI in the week is a hard bit of information. The measure of acknowledged deals jumped to 32 focuses last time and it is currently anticipated that would fall back to 16, which is still above levels are seen already.

Pound/dollar dropped strongly, tumbling off the round number of 1.30 specified a week ago before recuperating.

Technical Lines from Top to Bottom:

1.3615 capped the pair in late 2017. 1.3470 was a swing high in early June. The round number of 1.34 could provide further support. 1.3365 was a swing high in mid-July. Further down, 1.3315 was a swing high in late June.

1.3250 was a swing low in early June. Even lower, 1.3205 was the low point in late May. 1.3100 was a swing low in mid-June and 1.3050 is the latest 2018 low. The round number of 1.3000 awaits below. Even lower, 1.2955 is the low point seen in mid-July.

Our weekly forecast for GBP/USD Trading.

The British government’s stability did not last for too long. In addition, there are doubts about the rate hike in August. Even if the dollar is pressured by Trump, the pound has bigger troubles.
References
  1. https://www.mmfsolutions.sg/blog/gbp-usd-weekly-forecast-23-27-july-fundamental-technical-analysis/
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The British pound has posted losses in the Thursday session, erasing the gains made on Wednesday. how many dollars to an english pound? Well, in the North American session, the pair is trading at 1.3149, down 0.31% on the day. On the release front, there are no British events on the schedule. In the U.S, durable goods reports rebounded in June, but missed their estimates. Core Durable Goods Orders improved to 0.4%, shy of the estimate of 0.5%. Durable Goods Orders posted a gain of 1.0%, short of the estimate of 3.0%. Unemployment claims climbed to 217 thousand, above the estimate of 215 thousand. On Friday, the U.S releases Advance GDP and UoM Consumer Sentiment.
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