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  4. Wednesday, 09 October 2019
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昨日(8日)美国公布9月核心生产者物价指数(PPI)比8月下滑0.3%,为4年多以来最大单月降幅,也远不如市场预估的攀升0.2%,且产品与服务价格均下降,进一步显示美国通膨压力低落,使得美联储(Fed)拥有更大的降息空间与理由。市场专家表示,上个月企业的定价能力广泛疲弱,从机械、燃料、汽车都是遇到同样的问题,已经反映出目前实体经济的需求正在减弱,导致企业难以转嫁更高的关税或是制造成本。
在欧洲方面,英国距离脱欧期限进入倒数阶段,英国首相约翰逊的官员们表示,在约翰逊与德国总理梅克尔通完电话后,下周欧盟召开峰会时双方达成脱欧协议的最后希望也可以视为确定破局,造成昨日(8日)英镑盘中出现重贬0.8%,同时黄金受到避险需求的升温,重返1500美元/盎司大关。

外汇-技术分析(黄金XAUUSD):
1.png
今日外汇分析黄金(10月9日) 早盘在1505.2美元/盎司附近,从技术分析面切入,1小时级别观察走势符合昨日(8日)预测修正后大幅上涨,目前来到反弹位置的压力区间,因此有机会出现下跌走势。
目前短线上方压力区间位于1512~1513美元/盎司,下行方向,初步支撑区间于1497~1498美元/盎司,操作心态偏短空为主,想进场做短空的投资者可考虑在1507美元盎司至1509.5美元/盎司区间轻仓买进,MT4操作止损点位可考虑设置1510美元/盎司上方。

外汇-技术分析(欧元/美元EURUSD):
2.png
今日外汇分析欧元/美元(10月9日) 早盘在1.09551附近,从技术分析面切入,1小时级别观察符合昨日(8日)预测大幅下跌,目前跌深后出现的反弹现象,因此有机会小幅反弹后再度下跌。
目前短线上方压力区间位于1.09750~1.09780,下行方向,初步支撑区间于1.09350~1.09380,操作心态偏短空为主,想进场做短空的投资者可考虑在1.09660至1.09690区间轻仓买进,MT4操作止损点位可考虑设置1.09730上方。

外汇-技术分析(英镑/美元GBPUSD):
3.png
今日外汇分析英镑/美元(10月9日) 早盘在1.22183附近,从技术分析面切入,1小时线级别观察走势区间震荡后整理失败,主因受到英国脱欧协议再度破局,而造成行情大幅下跌,因此有机会出现跌深反弹后再度下跌。
目前短线上方压力区间位于1.22800~1.22850,下行方向,初步支撑区间于1.21750~1.21800,操作心态偏短空为主,想进场做短空的投资者可考虑在1.22150至1.22180区间轻仓买进,MT4操作止损点位可考虑设置1.22250上方。

外汇-技术分析(纽币/美元NZDUSD):
4.png
今日外汇分析纽币/美元(10月9日) 早盘在0.62946附近,从技术分析面切入,1小时线级别观察符合昨日(8日)判断预压后大幅下跌,目前高点下移正在跌深后出现反弹,因此有机会形成另一波下跌形态。
目前短线上方压力区间位于0.63200~0.63250,下行方向,初步支撑区间于0.62800~0.62850,操作心态偏短空为主,想进场做短空的投资者可考虑在0.63150至0.63180区间轻仓买进,MT4操作止损点位可考虑设置0.63250上方。

外汇-技术分析(纳斯达克指数Nas100):
5.png
今日外汇分析纳指(10月9日) 早盘在7610.1附近,从技术分析面切入,1小时线级别观察走势符合昨日(8日)预测触顶后开始修证,目前受到中美贸易摩擦影响下出现超跌现象,因此有机会跌深反弹。
目前短线上方压力区间位于7680~7690点,下行方向,初步支撑区间于7570~7580点,操作心态偏短多为主,想进场做短多的投资者可考虑在7620至7630区间轻仓买进,MT4操作止损点位可考虑设置7610下方。

今日外汇重点数据(数据名称/重要性/前值/预期):
1.法国9月BOF商业信心指数/三颗星/99/99
2.中国9月M2货币供应年率/三颗星/8.2%/8.2%
3.美国8月批发销售月率/三颗星/0.3%/0.2%
4.美国至10月4日当周EIA原油库存(万桶)/四颗星/310.4/141.3

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